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UTSA examine finds land to accommodate 600K individuals close to future bus strains

December 12, 2025
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Researchers at College of Texas at San Antonio say they’ve discovered area alongside a few of the metropolis’s busiest streets to construct housing for 600,000 new residents by 2050.

Their venture recognized greater than 7,000 acres of vacant land or underutilized parking areas close to proposed transit corridors that may very well be changed into new housing. 

Ian Caine, the UT San Antonio structure professor who led the work, stated a mix of latest growth and initiatives filling in round present buildings may deliver new housing to VIA’s proposed transit hubs whereas respecting native historical past.

“If you happen to develop on underutilized, vacant land alongside a few of these routes, you might meet San Antonio’s total housing scarcity,” Caine stated.

The venture, referred to as Emptiness to Vitality, recognized vacant parcels and unused parking areas alongside transit corridors that aren’t restricted by components like flood threat, possession or dimension and proposed insurance policies and designs to create growth with out displacing residents or historic companies and buildings.

Researchers checked out land a half-mile from seven of VIA’s proposed speedy transit corridors and located extra 2,700 acres of vacant land and 4,700 acres of underutilized parking areas they are saying may very well be transformed into housing.

A few of these concepts — like turning motels into workforce housing, including multifamily housing to strip malls or turning malls into massive mixed-use communities — aren’t new, Caine stated. He needed so as to add information and concepts to San Antonio’s dialogue about housing.

The venture, which mixed analysis with renderings created by UT San Antonio structure college students, recognized a few of the locations and methods to introduce them to San Antonio. Caine stated it was not a particular proposal for metropolis development, however may introduce potentialities to builders.

“It is a thought experiment about how San Antonio will develop over the following 25 years,” Caine stated at a panel dialogue on Tuesday.

Drone picture of the Tower of Americas overlooking downtown San Antonio in August 2025. Credit score: Cooper Mock for the San Antonio Report

The venture centered on VIA’s proposed superior speedy transit corridors. Two of these are in growth — the Inexperienced Line broke floor earlier this 12 months and the Silver Line may begin development in 2027 — whereas 5 others included within the analysis are merely proposed.

Caine stated the analysis nonetheless centered on various types of transportation, like self-driving vehicles and public transit.

“We’re imagining a future the place non-public gas-powered vehicles and enormous parking tons are much less frequent,” he stated. “We wish to prioritize individuals over vehicles.”

That will be an enormous change. Driverless automobile firm Waymo will introduce its providers to San Antonio in 2026, however greater than 80% of San Antonio employees commuted by automobile in 2024, in response to U.S. Census Bureau information. That’s greater than 600,000 individuals. 

Even with that variety of automobile customers, Caine stated that lots of San Antonio’s parking areas have been underutilized. Within the U.S., parking areas are empty round 75% of the time, however can have environmental results, like holding in warmth and stopping rain from reaching the earth beneath.

There are 877,000 parking areas within the examine space round these VIA transit corridors, Caine stated. That’s round six parking areas for each 1,000 gross sq. ft of economic area, round double the nationwide common. Researchers estimated that two-thirds of these spots may very well be put aside for growth, greater than 4,000 acres.

Filling in these unused areas with blended use growth might be extra environmentally pleasant, scale back infrastructure prices and scale back journey instances, significantly if it’s close to public transit. 

Caine pressured that it was essential to develop with out displacing companies or residents of these neighborhoods. A part of the venture was mapping residents’ vulnerability to displacement and gentrification.

Caine stated non-public house owners must tackle the event. How many individuals might be housed on the land would depend upon what sort of housing builders construct.

Metropolis policymakers have centered on transit-oriented growth, or TOD, and accredited guidelines final 12 months meant to minimize city sprawl and encourage denser constructing close to public transportation.

Emptiness to Vitality is on show at San Antonio Central Library till early January.



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