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The (not robust) case for the Spurs to commerce down

May 27, 2025
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Lottery luck gave the Spurs a implausible alternative. They’ll choose second on a stacked draft and add to their younger core. By all rumors and studies, they intend to do precisely that, and Rutger’s Dylan Harper seems to be near a lock to be the decide, at this level.

It makes good sense to only use the decide. If it’s getting traded, it must be for Giannis Antetokounmpo, assuming he really desires to go away Milwaukee, or a famous person of that stage. Buying and selling up will not be an possibility until the Spurs really go all in on Cooper Flagg and make the Mavericks a Godfather’s supply — and even then, they may cross.

However what about buying and selling down? Is there a case for it? It doesn’t appear more likely to occur, however all angles should be thought-about with such a helpful asset, particularly since two determined groups may very well be prepared to make large provides. The Jazz and Wizards, each in want of a face of the franchise and each cursed by the basketball gods on the lottery, might put collectively some attention-grabbing packages which can be not less than price exploring.

The Jazz might assist the Spurs enhance within the quick time period

There are a number of offers the Jazz might supply that embrace solely their younger gamers, however essentially the most intriguing one must be centered on Lauri Markkanen. The sharp-shooting ahead, together with Keyonte George, and the fifth decide doesn’t really feel like an excessive amount of to surrender for the Jazz, who can be transferring on from an costly star that doesn’t match their timeline and would improve from George with Harper. They might even have one thing to point out for after an embarrassingly dangerous 12 months. Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, Blake Wesley and Malaki Branham must be included to make the salaries match, which might imply shedding depth. Nonetheless, Markkanen would soak up a lot of the ahead minutes, George would take over as creating guard, and with the fifth decide, San Antonio might nonetheless get a high-upside contributor.

Why it is sensible

If the Spurs wish to win now, including firepower within the frontcourt looks like a worthwhile transfer. Markkanen is 28, costly, and never a primary possibility, which is why the Jazz can be prepared to half with him. However Fox is of an analogous age and expertise stage, and that didn’t dissuade San Antonio, which might solely want The Finnisher to be a 3rd possibility who areas the ground. Utah will get its man and strikes on from the previous period.

Why it doesn’t make sense

Markkanen will make $44 million subsequent 12 months, the primary of a four-year contract. Going after him is a big transfer when it comes to cap administration. Is he that large of a needle-mover? If he isn’t and so they want extra expertise, the Spurs would have a tough time discovering different items. George is a pleasant younger guard and whoever is there at 5 may very well be nice, however San Antonio would have an older and dearer core instantly after the commerce. As for the Jazz, they may wish to see what they’ve with a top-level man of their roster earlier than making any large strikes.

The Wizards might assist keep away from a logjam and spherical out the younger core

The Wizards lack a star veteran to commerce however might supply youth and expertise at key positions, plus a helpful future swap. Alex Sarr, Bilal Coulibaly, the sixth decide, and the rights to swap picks with the Suns in 2030 for No. 2, Branham, Julian Champagnie and Wesley may very well be an attention-grabbing deal. The Spurs would get two of Victor Wembanyama’s countrymen, together with his shut buddy, and would fill out the depth chart with high-upside gamers on rookie offers. Coulibaly regressed closely as a shooter after averaging a promising 34 % as a rookie from past the arc, however is among the most athletic wings within the league and an excellent defensive participant already, who has the potential to be elite on that finish. Sarr might play subsequent to Wembanyama in large lineups and likewise function a backup, providing rim safety and spacing.

Why it is sensible

For San Antonio, this solely is sensible if they’re satisfied Stephon Citadel is a star within the making or there’s somebody they worth within the vary of the Wizards’ decide. In the event that they assume they’ve their cornerstones in place or can discover one later, getting youth and upside at positions of want on low cost contracts can be an excellent plan. For Washington, this solely is sensible in the event that they wish to safe a franchise man now after being in limbo for some time.

Why it doesn’t make sense

If Harper or whoever the Spurs have second of their board turns into a star, they would want large leaps by Coulibaly and Sarr, the fifth decide to be successful and the swap to be vastly helpful to make the transfer worthwhile. Depth and property are nice, however top-level expertise is important. For the Wizards, persistence might repay. The following class is projected to be nice and so they might maintain their attention-grabbing prospects and discover a new face of the franchise in 2026 in the event that they tank and get luckier within the lottery.

Because the above examples — and they’re simply that: examples — present, it’s attainable to make a rational case for buying and selling down, however it’s onerous to make a convincing one. There are different frameworks or buying and selling companions, however the very best path appears to be to only maintain the decide or attempt to commerce for a famous person.

It’s not that frequent for a staff that regarded on its technique to the play-in till Victor Wembanyama’s damage to get such a excessive decide. The Spurs will likely be higher going ahead so long as their franchise heart stays wholesome, so the chance so as to add a younger cornerstone through the draft may not come up once more for a decade. Passing it up by overthinking or skipping steps doesn’t seem to be an important thought.



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